CD INCA Aruba Reserves vs Municipal Limeno Reserves

30 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp

CD INCA Aruba Reserves

Municipal Limeno Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.2% DRAW 17.9% AWAY 15.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.9% 1.55 DRAW 19.8% 4.86 AWAY 18.3% 5.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates CD INCA Aruba Reserves clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 66.2% win probability, compared with 61.9% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CD INCA Aruba Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD INCA Aruba Reserves Municipal Limeno Reserves

Shots 10.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours CD INCA Aruba Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD INCA Aruba Reserves Municipal Limeno Reserves

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.0

CD INCA Aruba Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD INCA Aruba Reserves Municipal Limeno Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours CD INCA Aruba Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CD INCA Aruba Reserves ↑ +0.00 (+0.1%)

Municipal Limeno Reserves ↑ +0.50 (+10.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.