Fuerte San Francisco Reserves vs CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Fuerte San Francisco Reserves

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 36.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% 2.57 DRAW 25.9% 3.89 AWAY 34.8% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fuerte San Francisco Reserves CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fuerte San Francisco Reserves CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fuerte San Francisco Reserves CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Fuerte San Francisco Reserves ↑ +0.52 (+25.3%)

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.