CD Aguila Reserves vs Internacional Santa Tecla Reserves

30 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

CD Aguila Reserves

Internacional Santa Tecla Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 39.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% 2.50 DRAW 22.9% 4.14 AWAY 39.1% 2.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Internacional Santa Tecla Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Aguila Reserves Internacional Santa Tecla Reserves

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Aguila Reserves Internacional Santa Tecla Reserves

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Internacional Santa Tecla Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Aguila Reserves Internacional Santa Tecla Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Aguila Reserves ↑ +0.05 (+2.1%)

Internacional Santa Tecla Reserves ↑ +0.06 (+2.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.