Libertad Asuncion Reserves vs Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

29 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Libertad Asuncion Reserves

Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 30.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.6% 2.25 DRAW 29.2% 3.20 AWAY 29.2% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Olimpia Asuncion Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Libertad Asuncion Reserves Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Libertad Asuncion Reserves Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Olimpia Asuncion Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Libertad Asuncion Reserves Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Olimpia Asuncion Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Libertad Asuncion Reserves ↓ -0.23 (-9.3%)

Olimpia Asuncion Reserves ↑ +0.67 (+26.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.