Thame Utd vs Beaconsfield

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Thame Utd

Beaconsfield

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.4% DRAW 19.5% AWAY 22.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% 1.73 DRAW 20.8% 4.69 AWAY 22.7% 4.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Thame Utd

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Thame Utd Beaconsfield

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 2.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Thame Utd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Thame Utd Beaconsfield

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.8

Beaconsfield has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Thame Utd Beaconsfield

The combined recent performance profile favours Thame Utd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Thame Utd = (0.0%)

Beaconsfield ↑ +0.80 (+22.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.