Leverstock Green vs Ware

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Leverstock Green

Ware

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.3% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 37.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% 2.39 DRAW 22.5% 4.23 AWAY 37.8% 2.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ware

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leverstock Green Ware

Shots 4.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Ware, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leverstock Green Ware

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Leverstock Green has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leverstock Green Ware

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Leverstock Green ↑ +0.14 (+6.1%)

Ware ↑ +0.02 (+0.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.