ASC vs Bengaluru B

29 Sep 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

ASC

Bengaluru B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.9% DRAW 16.1% AWAY 75.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.4% 10.00 DRAW 17.0% 5.50 AWAY 73.6% 1.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASC Bengaluru B

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours ASC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASC Bengaluru B

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Bengaluru B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASC Bengaluru B

The combined recent performance profile favours Bengaluru B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

ASC ↑ +2.50 (+33.3%)

Bengaluru B = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.