Sportivo Baradero vs CA Mitre de San Pedro

30 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Sportivo Baradero

CA Mitre de San Pedro

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.2% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 33.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% 2.44 DRAW 28.8% 3.31 AWAY 32.1% 2.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CA Mitre de San Pedro has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportivo Baradero CA Mitre de San Pedro

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours CA Mitre de San Pedro, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportivo Baradero CA Mitre de San Pedro

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3

CA Mitre de San Pedro has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportivo Baradero CA Mitre de San Pedro

The combined recent performance profile favours CA Mitre de San Pedro.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sportivo Baradero ↑ +0.04 (+1.8%)

CA Mitre de San Pedro ↑ +0.03 (+1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.