Uribelarrea FC vs Defensores de Glew

30 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Uribelarrea FC

Defensores de Glew

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 31.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% 2.40 DRAW 29.9% 3.00 AWAY 32.7% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Uribelarrea FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uribelarrea FC Defensores de Glew

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uribelarrea FC Defensores de Glew

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uribelarrea FC Defensores de Glew

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Uribelarrea FC ↑ +0.58 (+22.7%)

Defensores de Glew ↑ +0.20 (+7.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.