Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves vs Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

29 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.0% DRAW 16.5% AWAY 71.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 10.7% 9.25 DRAW 16.5% 6.00 AWAY 72.8% 1.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves ↑ +1.25 (+15.6%)

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves ↑ +0.14 (+11.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.