Mombasa United vs Kariobangi Sharks

01 Oct 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Mombasa United

Kariobangi Sharks

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 31.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% 2.46 DRAW 30.0% 3.18 AWAY 31.2% 3.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mombasa United

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mombasa United Kariobangi Sharks

Shots 12.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mombasa United Kariobangi Sharks

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Kariobangi Sharks has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mombasa United Kariobangi Sharks

The combined recent performance profile favours Kariobangi Sharks.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mombasa United ↑ +0.11 (+4.6%)

Kariobangi Sharks ↑ +0.06 (+1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.