Morocco U20 vs Algeria U20

30 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Morocco U20

Algeria U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.3% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 23.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.9% 1.84 DRAW 23.7% 4.03 AWAY 24.4% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Algeria U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Morocco U20 Algeria U20

Shots 3.0 · On target 0.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Algeria U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Morocco U20 Algeria U20

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Morocco U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Morocco U20 Algeria U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Morocco U20 ↑ +0.03 (+1.8%)

Algeria U20 ↑ +0.50 (+14.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.