Egypt U20 vs Tunisia U20

30 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Egypt U20

Tunisia U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 25.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.14 DRAW 28.2% 3.42 AWAY 26.8% 3.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Egypt U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Egypt U20 Tunisia U20

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Egypt U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Egypt U20 Tunisia U20

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Egypt U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Egypt U20 Tunisia U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Egypt U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Egypt U20 ↑ +0.23 (+12.0%)

Tunisia U20 ↓ -0.01 (-0.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.