Charleroi II vs RSC Habay

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp

Charleroi II

RSC Habay

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.4% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 29.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% 2.32 DRAW 25.7% 3.72 AWAY 33.2% 2.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Charleroi II clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.4% win probability, compared with 41.1% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Charleroi II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Charleroi II RSC Habay

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Charleroi II RSC Habay

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Charleroi II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Charleroi II RSC Habay

The combined recent performance profile favours Charleroi II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Charleroi II ↑ +0.12 (+5.4%)

RSC Habay ↑ +0.12 (+4.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.