Sint-Truidense II vs KFC Nijlen

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.0 pp

Sint-Truidense II

KFC Nijlen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.2% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 20.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.3% 1.86 DRAW 22.8% 4.18 AWAY 25.9% 3.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sint-Truidense II substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.2% win probability, compared with 51.3% implied by the market. The 7.0 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sint-Truidense II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sint-Truidense II KFC Nijlen

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Sint-Truidense II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sint-Truidense II KFC Nijlen

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sint-Truidense II KFC Nijlen

The combined recent performance profile favours Sint-Truidense II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Sint-Truidense II ↑ +0.03 (+1.4%)

KFC Nijlen ↑ +0.43 (+13.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.