Liaoning Tieren U20 vs Qingdao Hainiu U20

30 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Liaoning Tieren U20

Qingdao Hainiu U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.9% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 23.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.6% 1.75 DRAW 22.5% 4.24 AWAY 22.9% 4.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Qingdao Hainiu U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liaoning Tieren U20 Qingdao Hainiu U20

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liaoning Tieren U20 Qingdao Hainiu U20

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liaoning Tieren U20 Qingdao Hainiu U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Liaoning Tieren U20 ↑ +0.02 (+1.2%)

Qingdao Hainiu U20 ↑ +0.56 (+15.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.