Qingdao Red Lions U20 vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

30 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Qingdao Red Lions U20

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 41.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.5% 2.84 DRAW 23.3% 4.09 AWAY 43.1% 2.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Qingdao Red Lions U20

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Qingdao Red Lions U20 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

Shots 16.8 · On target 9.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Qingdao Red Lions U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Qingdao Red Lions U20 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Qingdao Red Lions U20 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Qingdao Red Lions U20 ↑ +0.09 (+3.3%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 ↑ +0.11 (+5.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.