Wenzhou Yincai U20 vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20

30 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Wenzhou Yincai U20

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.4% DRAW 17.3% AWAY 14.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.6% 1.43 DRAW 18.6% 5.13 AWAY 14.8% 6.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Wenzhou Yincai U20

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Wenzhou Yincai U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20

Shots allowed 22.5 · On target allowed 10.3 Shots allowed 18.8 · On target allowed 11.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Wenzhou Yincai U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Wenzhou Yincai U20 ↓ -0.40 (-21.9%)

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 ↑ +3.20 (+98.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.