Diamond SC vs Cascada SC

30 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Diamond SC

Cascada SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 32.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% 2.60 DRAW 28.7% 3.31 AWAY 34.8% 2.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Diamond SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.1% win probability, compared with 36.5% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Diamond SC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Diamond SC Cascada SC

Shots 15.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Diamond SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Diamond SC Cascada SC

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Cascada SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Diamond SC Cascada SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Diamond SC ↑ +0.10 (+4.2%)

Cascada SC ↑ +0.03 (+1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.