Gezira SC vs Nogoom FC

30 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Gezira SC

Nogoom FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 50.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.3% 4.46 DRAW 26.2% 3.64 AWAY 52.5% 1.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nogoom FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gezira SC Nogoom FC

Shots 1.3 · On target 0.0 Shots 4.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Nogoom FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gezira SC Nogoom FC

Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Gezira SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gezira SC Nogoom FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Gezira SC ↑ +0.13 (+2.9%)

Nogoom FC ↑ +0.09 (+5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.