Abu Al Matamir vs Alexandria Petroleum

30 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Abu Al Matamir

Alexandria Petroleum

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.0% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 53.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.8% 4.75 DRAW 27.5% 3.25 AWAY 53.7% 1.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alexandria Petroleum

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Abu Al Matamir Alexandria Petroleum

Shots 1.5 · On target 0.0 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Alexandria Petroleum, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Abu Al Matamir Alexandria Petroleum

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Abu Al Matamir has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Abu Al Matamir Alexandria Petroleum

The combined recent performance profile favours Alexandria Petroleum.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Abu Al Matamir = (0.0%)

Alexandria Petroleum = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.