Misr Lel Makasa vs Beni Suef SC

30 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Misr Lel Makasa

Beni Suef SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 28.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% 2.29 DRAW 27.3% 3.49 AWAY 31.0% 3.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Misr Lel Makasa relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.0% win probability, compared with 41.7% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Misr Lel Makasa

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Misr Lel Makasa Beni Suef SC

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 0.5 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours Misr Lel Makasa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Misr Lel Makasa Beni Suef SC

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Beni Suef SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Misr Lel Makasa Beni Suef SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Misr Lel Makasa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Misr Lel Makasa ↑ +0.04 (+1.7%)

Beni Suef SC ↑ +0.07 (+2.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.