Once Lobos Chalchuapa vs AD Forfut

29 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Once Lobos Chalchuapa

AD Forfut

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.2% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 30.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.00 DRAW 25.0% 3.60 AWAY 30.0% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AD Forfut

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Once Lobos Chalchuapa AD Forfut

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours AD Forfut, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Once Lobos Chalchuapa AD Forfut

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Once Lobos Chalchuapa AD Forfut

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Once Lobos Chalchuapa ↓ -0.20 (-9.1%)

AD Forfut ↑ +0.30 (+11.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.