El Alameen vs Mustaqbal Sport

30 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

El Alameen

Mustaqbal Sport

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.3% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 20.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.8% 1.84 DRAW 27.2% 3.51 AWAY 21.0% 4.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mustaqbal Sport

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

El Alameen Mustaqbal Sport

Shots 1.8 · On target 0.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Mustaqbal Sport, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

El Alameen Mustaqbal Sport

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.0

El Alameen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

El Alameen Mustaqbal Sport

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

El Alameen ↑ +0.04 (+2.3%)

Mustaqbal Sport ↑ +0.34 (+8.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.