Scotland U19 vs Ukraine U19

30 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Scotland U19

Ukraine U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.9% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 38.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.2% 2.79 DRAW 25.2% 3.79 AWAY 40.7% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Scotland U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.9% win probability, compared with 34.2% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ukraine U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Scotland U19 Ukraine U19

Shots 2.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Ukraine U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Scotland U19 Ukraine U19

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Scotland U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Scotland U19 Ukraine U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Scotland U19 ↓ -0.11 (-3.8%)

Ukraine U19 ↑ +0.25 (+11.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.