29 de Septiembre FBC vs 24 de Setiembre

29 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

29 de Septiembre FBC

24 de Setiembre

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.4% DRAW 15.8% AWAY 6.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.2% 2.30 DRAW 15.6% 11.51 AWAY 6.1% 29.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: 24 de Setiembre

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

29 de Septiembre FBC 24 de Setiembre

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

29 de Septiembre FBC 24 de Setiembre

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5

24 de Setiembre has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

29 de Septiembre FBC 24 de Setiembre

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

29 de Septiembre FBC ↑ +0.04 (+1.8%)

24 de Setiembre ↑ +26.46 (+941.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.