Presidente Hayes vs Silvio Pettirossi

30 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Presidente Hayes

Silvio Pettirossi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 29.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.6% 2.05 DRAW 25.1% 3.80 AWAY 28.4% 3.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Silvio Pettirossi

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Presidente Hayes Silvio Pettirossi

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Presidente Hayes Silvio Pettirossi

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Silvio Pettirossi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Presidente Hayes Silvio Pettirossi

The combined recent performance profile favours Silvio Pettirossi.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Presidente Hayes ↑ +0.10 (+4.9%)

Silvio Pettirossi ↑ +0.11 (+3.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.