3 de Febrero FBC vs CS Limpeno

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

3 de Febrero FBC

CS Limpeno

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.6% DRAW 35.6% AWAY 30.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.8% 4.50 DRAW 34.4% 3.90 AWAY 35.8% 3.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for 3 de Febrero FBC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.6% win probability, compared with 29.8% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

3 de Febrero FBC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

3 de Febrero FBC CS Limpeno

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours 3 de Febrero FBC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

3 de Febrero FBC CS Limpeno

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 7.3

3 de Febrero FBC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

3 de Febrero FBC CS Limpeno

The combined recent performance profile favours 3 de Febrero FBC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

3 de Febrero FBC ↑ +2.55 (+170.0%)

CS Limpeno ↓ -1.50 (-28.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.