Atletico Colegiales vs Club General Martin Ledesma

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.3 pp

Atletico Colegiales

Club General Martin Ledesma

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.2% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 40.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.9% 3.18 DRAW 24.7% 3.86 AWAY 45.4% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Atletico Colegiales clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.2% win probability, compared with 29.9% implied by the market. The 5.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Atletico Colegiales has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Colegiales Club General Martin Ledesma

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Colegiales, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Colegiales Club General Martin Ledesma

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 8.0

Atletico Colegiales has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Colegiales Club General Martin Ledesma

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico Colegiales.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico Colegiales ↑ +0.08 (+2.6%)

Club General Martin Ledesma ↑ +0.10 (+4.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.