Khovd FC vs FC Ulaanbaatar

30 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Khovd FC

FC Ulaanbaatar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 7.4% DRAW 7.3% AWAY 85.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.9% 12.00 DRAW 8.7% 10.90 AWAY 83.4% 1.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Ulaanbaatar has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Khovd FC FC Ulaanbaatar

Shots 12.5 · On target 7.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Khovd FC FC Ulaanbaatar

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 9.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0

FC Ulaanbaatar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Khovd FC FC Ulaanbaatar

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Ulaanbaatar.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Khovd FC ↓ -9.00 (-42.9%)

FC Ulaanbaatar ↑ +0.08 (+8.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.