Finland U19 vs Germany U19

30 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

Finland U19

Germany U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.8% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 66.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.2% 5.90 DRAW 20.2% 4.71 AWAY 63.6% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Germany U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 66.3% win probability, compared with 63.6% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Germany U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Finland U19 Germany U19

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Germany U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Finland U19 Germany U19

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Germany U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Finland U19 Germany U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Germany U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Finland U19 ↑ +1.15 (+24.2%)

Germany U19 ↑ +0.02 (+1.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.