Al Orthodoxi (W) vs Amman (W)

29 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Al Orthodoxi (W)

Amman (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.3% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 65.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.3% 5.85 DRAW 20.1% 4.75 AWAY 63.6% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Amman (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Orthodoxi (W) Amman (W)

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Amman (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Orthodoxi (W) Amman (W)

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.3

Amman (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Orthodoxi (W) Amman (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Amman (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Al Orthodoxi (W) ↑ +0.85 (+17.0%)

Amman (W) ↓ 0.00 (-0.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.