Coleraine Reserves vs Portadown Reserves

29 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Coleraine Reserves

Portadown Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.5% DRAW 17.9% AWAY 66.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.0% 7.50 DRAW 17.1% 5.25 AWAY 70.9% 1.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Coleraine Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 15.5% win probability, compared with 12.0% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Coleraine Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Coleraine Reserves Portadown Reserves

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Coleraine Reserves Portadown Reserves

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 9.5

Coleraine Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Coleraine Reserves Portadown Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Coleraine Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Coleraine Reserves ↑ +4.50 (+150.0%)

Portadown Reserves ↓ -0.58 (-31.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.