Estudiantes de Queretaro vs Club Celaya

29 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Estudiantes de Queretaro

Club Celaya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.0% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 59.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.8% 4.75 DRAW 21.8% 4.10 AWAY 59.5% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Club Celaya

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Estudiantes de Queretaro Club Celaya

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Estudiantes de Queretaro Club Celaya

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Club Celaya has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Estudiantes de Queretaro Club Celaya

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Celaya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Estudiantes de Queretaro = (0.0%)

Club Celaya = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.