Albania U19 vs Lithuania U19

30 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.7 pp

Albania U19

Lithuania U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 30.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% 2.00 DRAW 25.1% 3.92 AWAY 25.8% 3.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Lithuania U19 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.6% win probability, compared with 25.8% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lithuania U19

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Albania U19 Lithuania U19

Shots 1.0 · On target 0.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Lithuania U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Albania U19 Lithuania U19

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Albania U19 Lithuania U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Lithuania U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Albania U19 = (0.0%)

Lithuania U19 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.