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England Southern League Div One ·

Slimbridge vs Larkhall Athletic

30 Sep 2026 · 20:45
NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp
Slimbridge
Larkhall Athletic
HOME 42.1% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 34.6%
HOME 42.6% 2.38 DRAW 24.1% 4.21 AWAY 33.3% 3.05

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Slimbridge

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Slimbridge Larkhall Athletic
Shots 7.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 4.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Slimbridge, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Slimbridge Larkhall Athletic
Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Larkhall Athletic has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Slimbridge Larkhall Athletic

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Slimbridge ↓ -0.02 (-0.8%)
Larkhall Athletic ↑ +0.75 (+32.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.