Exmouth Town vs Weymouth

30 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Exmouth Town

Weymouth

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.5% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 54.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% 4.33 DRAW 23.9% 4.20 AWAY 53.0% 1.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Weymouth

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Exmouth Town Weymouth

Shots 2.0 · On target 1.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Weymouth, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Exmouth Town Weymouth

Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Exmouth Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Exmouth Town Weymouth

The combined recent performance profile favours Weymouth.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Exmouth Town ↑ +1.13 (+35.4%)

Weymouth ↑ +0.04 (+2.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.