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England Southern League Div One ·

London Lions vs Biggleswade Town

30 Sep 2026 · 20:45
NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp
London Lions
Biggleswade Town
HOME 23.1% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 56.8%
HOME 22.2% 4.37 DRAW 20.8% 4.66 AWAY 57.0% 1.70

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Biggleswade Town

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
London Lions Biggleswade Town
Shots 4.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Biggleswade Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
London Lions Biggleswade Town
Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
London Lions Biggleswade Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Biggleswade Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

London Lions ↑ +0.77 (+21.3%)
Biggleswade Town = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.