Alianza FC vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca

01 Oct 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

Alianza FC

CD Platense Zacatecoluca

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.0% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 18.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% 1.73 DRAW 24.0% 3.98 AWAY 20.7% 4.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Alianza FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.0% win probability, compared with 55.3% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Alianza FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alianza FC CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Alianza FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alianza FC CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Alianza FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alianza FC CD Platense Zacatecoluca

The combined recent performance profile favours Alianza FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Alianza FC ↓ -0.24 (-12.4%)

CD Platense Zacatecoluca ↑ +0.10 (+2.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.