SD Atletico Nacional (W) vs Inter Panama CF (W)

29 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

SD Atletico Nacional (W)

Inter Panama CF (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 3.2% DRAW 6.3% AWAY 90.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 4.1% 23.00 DRAW 7.9% 12.00 AWAY 87.9% 1.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Inter Panama CF (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 90.5% win probability, compared with 87.9% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Inter Panama CF (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SD Atletico Nacional (W) Inter Panama CF (W)

Shots 10.5 · On target 7.5 Shots 21.3 · On target 12.5

Recent attacking output favours Inter Panama CF (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SD Atletico Nacional (W) Inter Panama CF (W)

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Inter Panama CF (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SD Atletico Nacional (W) Inter Panama CF (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Inter Panama CF (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

SD Atletico Nacional (W) ↓ -18.00 (-43.9%)

Inter Panama CF (W) ↑ +0.05 (+5.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.