Independiente Petrolero U19 vs Real Tomayapo U19

30 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.3 pp

Independiente Petrolero U19

Real Tomayapo U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 45.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% 2.70 DRAW 23.7% 4.09 AWAY 40.4% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Real Tomayapo U19 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.6% win probability, compared with 40.4% implied by the market. The 5.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Real Tomayapo U19

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Independiente Petrolero U19 Real Tomayapo U19

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Independiente Petrolero U19 Real Tomayapo U19

Shots allowed 26.5 · On target allowed 12.5 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.3

Real Tomayapo U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Independiente Petrolero U19 Real Tomayapo U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Tomayapo U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Independiente Petrolero U19 ↓ -0.18 (-6.1%)

Real Tomayapo U19 ↑ +0.45 (+23.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.