Real Succes (W) vs Agarista CSF Anenii Noi (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Real Succes (W)

Agarista CSF Anenii Noi (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.8% DRAW 8.1% AWAY 85.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.7% 12.00 DRAW 9.7% 9.60 AWAY 82.6% 1.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Agarista CSF Anenii Noi (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Succes (W) Agarista CSF Anenii Noi (W)

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Agarista CSF Anenii Noi (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Succes (W) Agarista CSF Anenii Noi (W)

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 9.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Agarista CSF Anenii Noi (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Succes (W) Agarista CSF Anenii Noi (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Agarista CSF Anenii Noi (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Real Succes (W) ↓ -5.00 (-29.4%)

Agarista CSF Anenii Noi (W) ↑ +0.04 (+3.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.