FS Metta (W) vs Riga FC (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

FS Metta (W)

Riga FC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 3.7% DRAW 4.8% AWAY 91.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 2.3% 41.00 DRAW 4.5% 21.00 AWAY 93.1% 1.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Riga FC (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FS Metta (W) Riga FC (W)

Shots 4.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Riga FC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FS Metta (W) Riga FC (W)

Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.5

FS Metta (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FS Metta (W) Riga FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours FS Metta (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FS Metta (W) = (0.0%)

Riga FC (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.