AD Izalco vs CD Vendaval

29 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

AD Izalco

CD Vendaval

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.3% DRAW 17.7% AWAY 12.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.1% 1.40 DRAW 19.0% 5.03 AWAY 12.9% 7.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AD Izalco

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AD Izalco CD Vendaval

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 5.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours AD Izalco, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AD Izalco CD Vendaval

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AD Izalco CD Vendaval

The combined recent performance profile favours AD Izalco.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

AD Izalco = (0.0%)

CD Vendaval ↑ +0.90 (+13.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.