FACT Ladies (W) vs Nyasa Big Bullets (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

FACT Ladies (W)

Nyasa Big Bullets (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.6% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 41.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.0% 3.00 DRAW 29.0% 3.10 AWAY 40.9% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Nyasa Big Bullets (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FACT Ladies (W) Nyasa Big Bullets (W)

Shots 0.5 · On target 0.5 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Nyasa Big Bullets (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FACT Ladies (W) Nyasa Big Bullets (W)

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 0.8

Nyasa Big Bullets (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FACT Ladies (W) Nyasa Big Bullets (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Nyasa Big Bullets (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FACT Ladies (W) = (0.0%)

Nyasa Big Bullets (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.