Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Sportivo Ameliano (W)

Rubio Nu (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.7% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 48.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.2% 3.39 DRAW 24.4% 3.92 AWAY 47.4% 2.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Rubio Nu (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportivo Ameliano (W) Rubio Nu (W)

Shots 4.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 4.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportivo Ameliano (W) Rubio Nu (W)

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 9.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 8.0

Rubio Nu (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportivo Ameliano (W) Rubio Nu (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sportivo Ameliano (W) ↓ -0.12 (-3.3%)

Rubio Nu (W) ↑ +0.21 (+11.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.