Eastern Football Team U22 vs Lee Man FC U22

30 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.7 pp

Eastern Football Team U22

Lee Man FC U22

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.4% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 25.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% 1.95 DRAW 23.5% 3.80 AWAY 30.8% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Eastern Football Team U22 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.4% win probability, compared with 45.8% implied by the market. The 6.7 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Eastern Football Team U22 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Eastern Football Team U22 Lee Man FC U22

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Eastern Football Team U22, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Eastern Football Team U22 Lee Man FC U22

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 8.5

Eastern Football Team U22 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Eastern Football Team U22 Lee Man FC U22

The combined recent performance profile favours Eastern Football Team U22.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Eastern Football Team U22 = (0.0%)

Lee Man FC U22 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.