Shatin vs Hong Kong FC

01 Oct 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Shatin

Hong Kong FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 35.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.5% 2.25 DRAW 22.8% 4.19 AWAY 34.8% 2.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hong Kong FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shatin Hong Kong FC

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Hong Kong FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shatin Hong Kong FC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shatin Hong Kong FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Hong Kong FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shatin ↑ +0.15 (+7.0%)

Hong Kong FC ↑ +0.14 (+5.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.