CSE U20 vs Independente Atalaia U20

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

CSE U20

Independente Atalaia U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.7% DRAW 16.1% AWAY 9.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.3% 1.36 DRAW 18.3% 5.25 AWAY 11.4% 8.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates CSE U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.7% win probability, compared with 70.3% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CSE U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSE U20 Independente Atalaia U20

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours CSE U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSE U20 Independente Atalaia U20

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5

CSE U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSE U20 Independente Atalaia U20

The combined recent performance profile favours CSE U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CSE U20 = (0.0%)

Independente Atalaia U20 ↑ +1.90 (+29.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.