Auto Esporte vs Picuiense

01 Oct 2026 · 01:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Auto Esporte

Picuiense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.0% DRAW 17.0% AWAY 10.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.4% 1.36 DRAW 17.8% 5.47 AWAY 10.8% 9.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Auto Esporte

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Auto Esporte Picuiense

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 2.0 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours Auto Esporte, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Auto Esporte Picuiense

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.8

Picuiense has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Auto Esporte Picuiense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Auto Esporte ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

Picuiense ↑ +0.29 (+5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.